Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 4.736338e-05 0.000055 0.000064 0.000074 0.000084 0.000096 0.000109
2025-01-05 3.644804e-05 0.000047 0.000058 0.000072 0.000088 0.000106 0.000128
2025-01-12 2.850586e-05 0.000040 0.000053 0.000070 0.000090 0.000113 0.000142
2025-01-19 2.233091e-05 0.000034 0.000048 0.000066 0.000090 0.000118 0.000153
2025-01-26 1.808513e-05 0.000029 0.000044 0.000064 0.000091 0.000123 0.000165
2025-02-02 1.622178e-05 0.000028 0.000044 0.000067 0.000097 0.000134 0.000184
2025-02-09 1.393102e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000067 0.000100 0.000142 0.000198
2025-02-16 1.331493e-05 0.000026 0.000044 0.000071 0.000108 0.000157 0.000222
2025-02-23 1.160448e-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000071 0.000111 0.000164 0.000236
2025-03-02 9.266604e-06 0.000021 0.000039 0.000067 0.000109 0.000164 0.000241
2025-03-09 7.626675e-06 0.000018 0.000036 0.000065 0.000108 0.000166 0.000249
2025-03-16 6.374918e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000064 0.000108 0.000170 0.000258
2025-03-23 5.123278e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000063 0.000110 0.000176 0.000273
2025-03-30 4.044696e-06 0.000013 0.000030 0.000061 0.000111 0.000182 0.000287
2025-04-06 3.048238e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000059 0.000111 0.000186 0.000298
2025-04-13 2.196911e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000056 0.000109 0.000187 0.000306
2025-04-20 1.626739e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000055 0.000109 0.000191 0.000316
2025-04-27 1.430566e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000057 0.000115 0.000203 0.000341
2025-05-04 1.134267e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000057 0.000117 0.000211 0.000358
2025-05-11 1.095471e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000060 0.000126 0.000229 0.000390
2025-05-18 8.699493e-07 0.000007 0.000023 0.000060 0.000129 0.000237 0.000408
2025-05-25 5.657415e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000057 0.000126 0.000236 0.000412
2025-06-01 3.813717e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000055 0.000125 0.000238 0.000422